Asianet News Mood of the Voters survey: Brahmins, non-Yadav OBCs back BJP in UP election 2022?

Caste dynamics have always played a crucial role in swinging the mandate in the Uttar Pradesh elections. The trend is likely to continue in the forthcoming elections in the state seven months later.

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The Asianet News Mood of the Voters survey, which was conducted by Jan Ki Baat, has found that this time 70 per cent of Brahmin voters are showing an inclination towards the BJP. Only 20 per cent of the Brahmin voters favoured the Samajwadi Party. Another 10 per cent said they would support BSP and 5 per cent picked Congress as their choice.

Jats: About 60 per cent of the community members said they would back the Samajwadi Party in the 2022 election. Yet, there were 30 per cent of Jat voters who would rather vote for the BJP.

Yadavs: Talking about the Yadavs, the survey found 10 per cent siding with the BJP while 90 per cent preferred to go with the Samajwadi Party.

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Non-Yadav OBC: 70 per cent of the voters in non-Yadav OBC castes are inclined towards the BJP. Only 10 per cent of the respondents backed the Samajwadi Party.

What the region-wise data suggests

Goraksh area: According to the survey, 90 per cent of the Brahmins here are inclined towards BJP and five per cent towards the BSP. Only three per cent of the Brahmins backed the Samajwadi Party.

Brij region: Here, 56 per cent of Brahmin voters favour BJP while 14 per cent support the Samajwadi Party. Seven per cent of Brahmins want to throw their weight behind the BSP, while three per cent are inclined towards the Congress.

Western UP: In the West Zone, 65 per cent of Brahmin voters are inclined towards the BJP, while 28 per cent favour the Samajwadi Party.

 

Awadh region: 80 per cent of Brahmin voters of the Awadh region are seen to be backing the BJP. The support for Samajwadi Party shrinks to 15 per cent. 

Kashi region: In Kashi, 68 per cent of Brahmin voters are in favour of going along with the BJP in the next election. The survey found only 25 per cent of voters backing the Samajwadi Party, followed by five per cent for the BSP and two per cent with Congress.

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Kanpur-Bundelkhand: In this region, 34 per cent of the Brahmin voters are with BJP, while 12 per cent are inclined to Samajwadi Party. Here 18 per cent of Brahmins are with BSP. Whereas 36 per cent of Brahmins are still neutral and have not decided for whom they have voted.

Who do the Yadav and non-Yadav OBCs support?

Goraksha area: According to the survey, 70 per cent of Yadav voters are with the Samajwadi Party, while 30 per cent are inclined towards BJP. Whereas in non-Yadav OBCs, 70 per cent are with BJP and 25 per cent favour Akhilesh Yadav's party. 

Brij region: Here, 80 per cent of the Yadavs support the Samajwadi Party while 10 per cent back the BJP. In Brij, 58 per cent non-Yadav OBCs could support the BJP, while 20 per cent may back the Samajwadi Party. 

Western UP: In this region, 78 per cent of Yadav voters endorsed the Samajwadi Party, while six per cent supports the BJP. Here too, 58 per cent non-Yadav OBCs are with the BJP while 22 per cent are with the SP alliance. Six per cent of those surveyed stood with the BSP. Another 11 per cent non-Yadav OBCs are with other parties.

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Awadh Region: Here, 95 per cent of Yadavs are expected to go along with the Samajwadi Party, while the BJP could get around five per cent of the votes. Talking about non-Yadav OBCs, 60 per cent support the BJP.  At the same time, around 20 per cent support Samajwadi Party, 10 per cent BSP and five per cent Congress.

Kashi region: Here, 84 per cent of Yadavs are with Samajwadi Party while 12 per cent are backing the BJP. However, among non-Yadav OBCs, BJP found the support of 46 per cent of the respondents, followed by 32 per cent for the Samajwadi Party. Another 12 per cent sided with the BSP and five per cent with Congress. 

Kanpur-Bundelkhand: Here, 70 per cent of the Yadav back the Samajwadi Party while only 18 per cent favour BJP. As is the case in other regions, here to non-Yadav OBCs (64%) stand with the BJP and 27 per cent back the Samajwadi Party. 

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