This is why Sasikala's likely parole is bad news for EPS and OPS?

First Published 11, Sep 2017, 8:43 PM IST
This is why Sasikalas likely parole a bad news for EPS and OPS
  • AIADMK General Secretary VK Sasikala's husband, M Natarajan is suffering from multi-organ failure
  • Sasikala might seek permission for parole and this is surely not good news for Tamil Nadu Chief Minister OPS and OPS factions
  • Sasikala supporter TTV Dinakaran has taken away 20 MLAs from EPS group to a resort
  • Now EPS is marginally short of MLAs to prove his majority, but he may still find the necessary votes
  • But with Sasikala's entry through parole, there is a chance of more MLAs switching to Dinakaran's faction
  • This might topple the EPS government, inviting fresh elections

AIADMK General Secretary VK Sasikala's husband, M Natarajan is suffering from multi-organ failure and is admitted in the Gleneagles Global Health City in Chennai. He is said to be in a critical condition, and Sasikala might be planning to apply for parole.

This is surely not good news for Tamil Nadu Chief Minister Edappadi Palaniswami (EPS) and Deputy CM O Panneerselvam (OPS) and his group. With Dinakaran taking away 20 MLAs and keeping them in a resort at Coorg in Karnataka, Sasikala's entry into Tamil Nadu (of course a short one) may prove costly as there is a possibility of more MLAs shifting sides.

Sasikala is currently in the Bengaluru Central Jail in Parappana Agarahara sentenced for four years of imprisonment in the disproportionate assets case. 

EPS and OPS, who merged their factions and took the onus of the two leaves symbol of the AIADMK recently, are trying hard to keep the flock together as they are trying to oust Sasikala from the post of AIADMK General Secretary. Will Sasikala be successful in pulling more MLAs to Dinakaran's side, making the EPS government lose power?

Dinakaran is all set to ask Governor Vidyasagar Rao to ask EPS to prove majority in the House. With 20 MLAs on Dinakaran's side EPS does not have the magic number 117 to prove his majority. He is short of at least three MLAs.

EPS may be successful in pulling the needed support unless more MLAs change sides and join Dinakaran. Sasikala's entry into TN might just make the damage enough to deprive EPS of sitting on the CM's post. 

Though it is said that Natarajan is behind the master plan in the affect of Mannargudi family on the Tamil Nadu politics, it looks like Sasikala too has learnt her lessons and is in a position to take decisions now.

With Natarajan ill, that too coincidentally at a time when Dinakaran needs Sasikala's presence the most, Sasikala might take some action on her own.

Currently, the medical bulletins of the hospital have stated that Natarajan was admitted at the Liver Intensive Care Unit with decompensated liver disease leading to liver and kidney failure and lung congestion. He was receiving dialysis and other intensive care therapies.

Natarajan's name has been registered with Tamil Nadu Organ Sharing (TNOS) waiting list for deceased donor liver transplantation. The family is waiting for a donor as Natarajan's liver and kidneys are failing.

Now, as he is in a critical condition, Sasikala might ask for parole. So far her pleas for parole had gone in vain.

Will the court grant Sasikala permission to meet her ailing husband? Will this parole make MLAs have a U-turn from their stand of removing Sasikala from the party chief's post?

If there is a U-turn, Tamil Nadu will have to go for fresh elections.