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Real Madrid, Liverpool, Barcelona or Arsenal: Opta predicts UCL winner

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Champions League last-16 draw

Draw for the knockout stage of this season's UEFA Champions League was made on Friday.

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Opta supercomputer picks winner

Liverpool remain favourites with a 17.2% chance of winning, despite a 3.0% drop after the draw.

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Liverpool vs PSG in last-16

If Liverpool beat PSG in the last-16, they could face Aston Villa (QF) and Arsenal/Real Madrid (SF).

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Barcelona's chances

Barcelona (15.4%) are second favourites, gaining +2.7% after drawing Benfica.

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Arsenal's chances

Arsenal dropped 3.2% to 13.6%, the biggest negative shift due to their tough route.

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Real Madrid's chances

Inter Milan (12.7%) and Real Madrid (11.6%) complete the top five favourites.

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PSG's chances

PSG (8.8%) chances remain unchanged despite drawing Liverpool.

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German giants' chances

Bayer Leverkusen (5.8%) improved (+1.2%), now statistically ahead of Bayern Munich (4.8%).

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UCL underdogs

Aston Villa (1.0%) are among the biggest underdogs, with Feyenoord (0.6%) having the lowest probability.

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