
For the first time ever, the Indian rupee slipped past Rs 90 against the US dollar on Wednesday. The move from Tuesday's 89.94 may look tiny on paper, but its impact is anything but small. This isn't just a market headline. It affects your everyday life, from your fuel bill to your child's education expenses, even your next mobile phone purchase.
India imports 90% of its crude oil and relies heavily on foreign suppliers for things like electronics, fertilizers, cooking oil, and machinery.
When the rupee weakens:
For Indian students overseas, the pain is acute. With tuition and living expenses paid in dollars:
Every one-rupee fall against the dollar adds thousands more to monthly bills.
From flight tickets to hotel stays to international insurance, everything jumps when the rupee falls.
Recent negotiations fell through, and the US imposed steep tariffs on several Indian exports, some increased up to 50%. This hit business confidence, exports, and ultimately the rupee.
Despite good GDP numbers and moderate inflation, foreign institutional investors (FIIs) have withdrawn $17 billion from Indian equities in 2025. When dollars leave the country, the rupee drops.
The IMF recently reclassified India's currency regime from "stabilized" to "crawl-like."
This means:
In simpler terms: the RBI is allowing gradual depreciation instead of fighting it.
Unlike 2022, when a super-strong dollar weakened currencies across the globe, the US dollar is stable this time. The rupee's fall is driven mostly by India-specific factors.
With $690 billion in reserves, the RBI has enough firepower, much more than during the 2013 crisis or the 2018 oil shock. This gives the central bank confidence to stay calm, not panic.
Instead of blocking depreciation, the RBI seems to be allowing a controlled fall to:
As analyst David Forrester of Credit Agricole puts it: "The RBI may be letting the rupee weaken slightly to support Indian exports."
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