
Rural Electrification Corporation (REC) shares may have fallen 7% in the last one month, but SEBI-registered analyst Krishna Pathak believes the long-term story remains intact.
According to Pathak, the current price of ₹390 offers a compelling entry point, especially for investors looking to accumulate near the ₹360–₹370 zone where strong historical buying interest was seen.
Technically, the stock is range-bound — facing resistance near ₹415 and finding solid support around ₹339. The 9-week Exponential Moving Average, currently at ₹408.11, is acting as a resistance barrier.
The stochastic RSI is near the overbought territory, indicating potential short-term consolidation before any meaningful move.
However, Pathak notes that a breakout above ₹415 could spark a rally, with sequential upside targets at ₹455, ₹507, ₹558, and ₹612.
On the downside, a breach below ₹339 could lead to a deeper correction.
Fundamentally, REC posted a subdued March-quarter performance with moderated growth and disbursements.
While margins and asset quality remained stable, the company revised its AUM growth guidance down to 11%-13% from the earlier 15%-17% during its May 14 earnings call.
Despite near-term concerns, data on Stocktwits shows that retail sentiment remains ‘bullish’ on this counter, suggesting continued investor interest in REC's long-term prospects.
REC shares have fallen 21% year-to-date (YTD).
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