Indian markets bleed: Nifty, Sensex plunge over 2% on global woes

Indian equity markets saw a sharp decline, with Nifty and Sensex falling over 2% due to global headwinds and rising bond yields. Most sectors ended in red, with experts noting a prevailing bearish trend and key technical support levels.

Indian equity benchmarks fell sharply on Friday, weighed down by global macro headwinds, rising bond yields, and persistent geopolitical tensions. The benchmark Nifty 50 closed at 22,820, down 2.09 per cent, after opening with a gap-down and remaining under pressure throughout the session. The banking index Bank Nifty also mirrored the weakness, declining 2.67 per cent to settle at 52,275. BSE Sensex closed at 73,583.22, down by 2.25%.

Market Drivers: Global and Domestic Factors

According to Sudeep Shah, Head of Technical and Derivatives Research at SBI Securities, a combination of global and domestic factors dampened investor sentiment. "A combination of macro headwinds weighed heavily on market sentiment, including a pullback in crude oil prices, the rupee hitting a record high, a spike in US and Japanese 10-year bond yields, and a rise in VIX. Ongoing geopolitical tensions in West Asia further added to the cautious undertone," Shah said.

Technical Analysis and Bearish Trend

He added that the index faced selling pressure after failing to cross key resistance levels earlier this week. "After failing to surpass the 23,350-23,400 resistance zone, Nifty witnessed renewed selling pressure... every pullback has been sold into at higher levels, reinforcing the prevailing bearish trend," he noted.

On the technical front, indicators continued to signal weakness. "RSI has slipped after briefly crossing the 40 mark... while MACD continues to trade well below both the zero line and the signal line, further strengthening the bearish bias," Shah said.

Sectoral Performance and Broader Market

Sectorally, only the CPSE index managed to end in positive territory, while PSU banks and defence stocks were among the worst hit. Broader markets also remained under pressure, with midcap and smallcap indices falling over 1.5 per cent each. Market breadth remained decisively negative, with a large majority of stocks ending in the red, reflecting widespread selling pressure.

Future Outlook and Key Levels

Looking ahead, Shah highlighted key levels for the benchmark index. "The immediate support for Nifty is placed in the 22,650-22,600 zone. Any sustainable move below this zone could result in Nifty extending its weakness towards 22,400, followed by 22,200. On the upside, 23,150-23,200 is likely to act as strong resistance."

Bank Nifty Analysis

For Bank Nifty, he said, "The immediate support is placed in the 51,800-51,700 zone... while 52,700-52,800 will act as immediate resistance," adding that the index continues to underperform the broader market.

Economic Perspective and Long-Term Outlook

Meanwhile, market experts believe policy support and easing fuel costs could provide some relief going forward. Dr Vijay Kalantri said the government's move to reduce excise duty on petrol and diesel is a positive step amid volatile conditions. He noted that the measure "will help stabilise prices and provide relief to consumers," adding that it could prevent further inflationary pressures and support economic activity.

Kalantri also flagged concerns over supply disruptions due to tensions in the Gulf region, particularly for critical imports such as fertilisers and petrochemicals, but expressed optimism. He said assurances from Iran regarding safe passage could ease concerns, while adding that the Indian rupee is expected to strengthen.

Despite near-term volatility, he maintained a positive long-term outlook. "With continued government support for trade and industry, the Indian economy is expected to witness positive growth despite current challenges," he said. (ANI)

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